System-Risk Conference 2019 Flood hazard and risk:

Interactions, temporal changes and system approaches Date: 17. - 19. September 2019

Venue: Helmholtz Centre Potsdam - GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Telegrafenberg, D-14473 Potsdam

In view of globally increasing flood losses, the assessment and management of flood risk is a substantial societal challenge and an important issue on the political agenda. Current approaches for assessing and managing flood risk ignore fundamental principles of flood risk system functioning. Interactions and feedbacks between atmosphere, catchments, river-floodplain systems, as well as socioeconomic processes are usually disregarded. System approaches are needed to address the solidarity principle anchored in the EU Floods Directive, which calls for consideration of the potential adverse consequences of risk management interventions for upstream and downstream regions. The System-Risk Conference 2019 is the final conference of the European Training Network System-Risk and aims to bring together flood risk researchers and practitioners from research institutes, authorities, the insurance industry and consultancy. It provides an opportunity to share new insights and developments and offers a forum to discuss the uptake of these findings in risk management including the implementation process of the European Flood Directive.

We invite scientists and practitioners to share their research and insights into flood risk assessment and management. Contributions related to the following themes are welcome:

• Interplay between atmospheric and catchment processes and its relation with flood occurrence. (Theme 1)
• Flood risk analysis of river basins taking into account interdependencies between subareas and the effect of flood defence failures. (Theme 2)
• Interactions of socio-economic and physical processes, and its relation with changes in flood risks. (Theme 3)
• Comprehensive flood loss assessments including indirect damages and damages related to critical infrastructure. (Theme 4)
• Robust decision making in flood risk management on larger scales. (Theme 5)
• Challenges in flood risk governance and international co-operation. (Theme 6)

Contributions /Presentations

Keynote lectures

Water Resilience and Earth System Stability, J. Rockstroem

Coping with uncertainty in a complex world: Implication for governance and communication, O. Renn

Multi-scale hydrodynamic modelling of flood risk: a non-calibrated approach applied cities And river basins, C. Kilsby

Current status and future challenges of flood risk management in Europe, P. Salamon

Theme 1: Interplay between atmospheric and catchment processes and its relation with flood occurrence

Lectures

Ingredients of Runoff Events: Regional Differences between Small and Large Floods, L. Tarasova et al.

Identification of flood hazard patterns over large regions, R da Costa et al.

From detection to attribution of flood changes in Europe in the last five decades: a regional data-based approach, Bertola et al.

Climate changes leading to flood hazard alterations across a flood-prone area, Sarchani et al.

Posters

Targeted dynamical downscaling of extreme precipitation for flood-impact modelling, E. Meredith et al.

Synthetic boundary conditions for large-scale flood risk assessment, D. Diederen et al.

Identifying unseasonal and rare flood events using novel hydrographs characteristics, D. Wendi et al.

Comparative Evaluation of Two Types of Stochastic Weather Generators for synthetic Precipitation Estimation in the Rhine basin, S. Ullrich et al.

Role of flood wave superposition for the severity of large floods, B. Guse et al.

Long-term changes in Rhine river discharge: impact of changing snow covers, reservoir constructions and an intensified hydrological cycle, E. Rottler et al.

Theme 2: Flood risk analysis of river basins taking into account interdependencies between subareas and the effect of flood defense failures

Lectures

Hydraulic load interdependencies: a case study on a regional flood defence system in the Netherlands, S. Rikkert et al.

Developing flood risk management plans accounting for hydraulic system behavior, A. Ciullo et al.

Reduction of dike height – A flood mitigation measure?, D. Bachmann et al.

Understanding levee failure patterns to complement flood risk assessments, E. Ozer et al.

River Flood Hazards across Timescales: from Flood Events to Long-Term Dynamics, A. Viglione et al.

The Impact of Meteorological and Hydrological Memory on Compound Peak Flows in the Rhine River Basin, S. Khanal et al.

Large-scale stochastic flood hazard analysis on the Po River, A. Curran et al.

Flood Model Frequency Validation Using Satellite Imagery and Discharge Data, N. Argiumbau et al.

Posters

Toward improving the hydraulic modelling for large-scale flood risk assessment, M. Farrag et al.

What is the role of spatial dependency in regional flood risk estimation?, A.D. Metin et al.

A flood inundation hindcast for Europe based on 26-year simulated streamflow, J. Sosa et al.

Applications of levee breaching feature of LISTFLOOD-FP model, J. Shustikowa

Theme 3: Comprehensive flood loss assessments including indirect damages and damages related to critical infrastructures

Lectures

Modulation of Economic Losses from European Floods by the North Atlantic Oscillation, Zanardo et al.

Pollution transport forecast during pluvial flood events, R. Saemann et al.

Investigating flood impacts on businesses – a case study from Cumbria, UK, F. Holz et al.

An insurance industry compliant approach to assessing present and future fluvial flood risk in the entire Danube basin, M. Wortmann et al.

Integrating direct and indirect economic flood impacts, T. Sieg et al.

Extended Cost-Benefit Analysis through Ecosystem Services to evaluate Floodplain Restoration Measures in the Danube River Basin, F. Perosa et al.

Posters

Economic Impacts of system-behaviour flood risk analyses, A. Curran et al.

The dynamics of individual precautionary behavior and intentions in response to experiencing a flood event, L. Berghäuser et al.

Comparing cultural and hydrological influence on the long-term average flood loss for different human-flood systems around the world, M. Barendrecht et al.

Changing Flood Risk and Perceptions with Shifting Fluvial Flood Risk Management in the UK and the Netherlands, L. Capewell et al.

Theme 4: Interactions of socio-economic and physical processes, and its relation with changes in flood risk

Lectures

Hierarchical Bayesian approach for parameterizing flood damage model (depth-damage curves) for Europe, N. Sairam et al.

The affordability of flood risk property-level adaptation measures, P. Hudson

Community initiative: collection of paired event case studies of riverine, pluvial and coastal floods, H. Kreibich

A multi-level, multi-scenario perspective on the interplay between urban planning and flood risk management, B. Dewals et al.

Flood risk under climate and land use changes – a coupled modelling framework in an alpine study area, B. Winter et al.

Using panel data to understand differences in individual recovery from flood impacts, P. Bubeck et al.

Posters

Comparative Evaluation of Multivariable Micro-Scale Flood Loss Estimation Models for Companies, L. Schoppa et al.

A review of the intangible impacts of flooding, P. Hudson

Large-scale flood loss assessment to strategic road transport networks and bridges, M. Pregnolato and P. Bates

The use of multi-criteria analysis in natural hazard risk management decision making, P. Hudson

Testing empirical and synthetic flood damage models: the case of Italy, A. Domeneghetti et al.

Probabilistic loss models for pluvial floods, V. Rözer et al.

Theme 5: Robust decision making, flood risk governance

Lectures

The Post Event Review Capability (PERC) medley: Key lessons learnt from 6 years of forensic disaster research, M. Szönyi et al.

A Framework to Assess integration in Flood Risk Management Policy and Practice, L. Cumiskey et al.

Screening flood risk reduction strategies for water proofing Beira, E. van Berchum et al.

Posters

The use of multi-criteria analysis in natural hazard risk management decision making, P. Hudson

Long-term versus forecast-based measures? How does forecast skill affect this dilemma in Chikwawa, Malawi, K. Bischiniotis