Project Website www.scl-ilp.org
We contribute towards a better characterization of the kinematic setting of this key section of the North Anatolian Fault Zone (NAFZ). Given the recent activity on this topic the proposed task force will not start from scratch, but instead will build on extensive existing networks that were consolidated in the recent ILP period. In particular our networks involve key researchers from the disciplines such as experimental seismology, geomechanical-numerical modelling, fault-zone evolution and plate tectonics.
We will focus on the natural laboratory in the Marmara Sea region addressing key topics related to the model of the seismic cycle. Here a major (M>7) earthquake is overdue in direct vicinity to the population centre Istanbul and has to be considered as the major potential risk for the megacity. Here we intent to contribute to research at the forefront within the here proposed task force. The following three key topics are to be addressed with this Task Force:
Improving and further refining existing kinematic models for the NAFZ in northwestern Turkey based on world-class seismological waveform recordings from the recently implemented ICDP-GONAF downhole geophysical observatory (Prevedel et al., 2015).
In particular this Task Force will provide a platform and a network for young scientists to present and discuss their model concepts. Several PhD students are already involved in the previous studies leading to this proposal. The aim of the Task Force is to continue attracting young researchers as well as experienced experts that are willing to share their expertise in geomechanical modelling in order to jointly improve our knowledge of geodynamic processes. The Task Force is closely linked to Urban Fault Observatory Team Project of GFZ Section 2.6 where for this region the key project is MEMO – Marmara Sea Earthquake Modelling, that will start in late 2017.